Poll: Lujan Grisham leads Pearce in race for governor | KOB 4

Poll: Lujan Grisham leads Pearce in race for governor

June 20, 2018 01:20 PM

ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. - A new poll is shedding some insight into high-stakes races in New Mexico.


The Carroll Poll, by Carroll Strategies in Albuquerque, shows Michelle Lujan Grisham leading Republican Steve Pearce.

According to the poll, Lujan Grisham has 50.5 percent support, while Pearce has 42.7 percent support.

Tom Carroll, the President of Carroll Strategies, said 1,199 people were polled. He estimates the margin of error to be 2.8 percent. But the Pearce camp has a few complaints about that methodology.

A spokesperson for his campaign sent us this statement:

“This poll is as credible as a phone scam. This is a Democratic pollster using badly flawed methodology, which for instance excluded mobile phones, and follows his work in the 2017 ABQ Mayor's race where he was off by 17 points. Our opponent has repeatedly said the race is tied (see any of her emails to supporters). Steve Pearce will win in November the same way he was elected to Congress seven times in a heavily Democratic and Hispanic district.”

Carroll worked for both Democrats and Republicans before starting his public relation's firm. In 2008, he was a part Steve Pearce's U.S. Senate campaign.

“When you're behind sometimes you can argue with the results of a poll,” said Carroll.

Meanwhile, the Lujan Grisham campaign says this poll proves what they already knew.

Deputy Campaign Manager Victor Reyes released this statement:

"New Mexicans recognize Michelle Lujan Grisham's decades-long record of bringing people together and delivering results for the entire state. They understand that now more than ever we need a governor like Michelle, who has proven that she can reach across the aisle and achieve solutions like putting more cops in high crime areas, saving jobs at Kirtland Air Force Base, and helping our students reduce student loan debt. New Mexicans are yearning for a new direction for our state and they trust that Michelle can make it happen.

"There is still a lot of work to be done before Election Day in November and Michelle will continue to travel the state and share her vision of creating safer communities, stronger classrooms for our students, and economic opportunities for families across New Mexico. We know there is too much at stake this election to take it lightly and we will continue to build upon our network of passionate volunteers, take nothing for granted, and fight for every single vote."

New Mexico Congressional District 1

The Carroll poll also shows there's a heated race for New Mexico’s First Congressional District. In November, Republican Janice Arnold-Jones will take on Democrat Deb Haaland.

The poll shows Haaland at 47 percent. Arnold-Jones is polling at 42.7 percent.

Both candidates reacted to the poll of 420 people.

“I think the voters of district one want a fierce champion to go to Congress to fight for renewable energy, to fight to make sure every New Mexican has health care, to fight for the public education and our LGBT community and all those things that make our district so diverse,” said Haaland. “We are going to continue that.”

But Arnold-Jones says the numbers show something different.

“I am excited, I am pleased but it’s showing exactly what we are seeing out in the field,” said Arnold-Jones. “New Mexicans and folks in CD 1 do not just want someone who is focused merely on bi-partisan politics but on solutions not only for our state and for our area but for our nation.”

Below are more races polled by Carroll Strategies, along with more detailed results from the polls: 

New Mexico Governor:

Democrat Michelle Lujan Grisham – 50.5%

Republican Steve Pearce – 42.1%

Libertarian Bob Walsh – 3.1%

Undecided – 4.3%

U.S. Senate:

Democrat Martin Heinrich – 49.8%

Republican Mick Rich – 39.3%

Libertarian Aubrey Dunn  – 5.3%

Undecided – 5.7%

U.S. Congress CD 1:

Democrat Debra Haaland – 47%

Republican Janice Arnold-Jones – 42.7%

Libertarian Lloyd Princeton – 3.6%

Undecided – 6.7%

U.S. Congress CD 2:

Democrat Xochitl Torres Small – 34.7%

Republican Yvette Harrell – 48.5%

Undecided - 16.8%

U.S. Congress CD 3:

Democrat Ben Ray Lujan – 58%

Republcan Jerald Steve McFall – 30%

Libertarian Christopher Mannin – 4.7%

Undecided – 7.2%



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